Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 2 km from here.
This alert expired on 29 September 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is one of only 4 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 3 June 2026. The last comparable one was on 4 September 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 9:37AM MDT until September 29 at 12:30PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
Nearby, since 3 June 2026
- September 29, 2026 · score 16 · 11.9 km
- July 15, 2026 · 12.3 km
- June 3, 2026 · 21.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 32.9265, -109.6083 |
| Nearest City | Tanque Verde (130 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-29T15:37:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.7617c118d7f50f6aaf20bfb69923dfa24cdc86ae.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-29T15:37:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-29T15:48:12.313Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7617c118d7f50f6aaf20bfb69923dfa24cdc86ae.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Grant, NM; Luna, NM; Sierra, NM; Luna, NM; Dona Ana, NM and 5 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 9:37AM MDT until September 29 at 12:30PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-29T12:30:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 14 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7617c118d7f50f6aaf20bfb69923dfa24cdc86ae.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1b38f408ed1854eaa458069ae77ac1b1eaeb4aab.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d8a238bac45bf16c3354b6034e5b3ebc8618cc0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f28512defb3fda1b44a3e7fcdf2ad33cf2108cd9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ad8bdce9ba7ee0203953fecfcb86899c7d3dc70a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3cd397087b0d697cef0d272ecbc8eb20492fd706.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bd1a8b6678737e0ceebdb9ad766630c55285ad0c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.188d5d1cc9778be8a9ee423b5999f6f853dc6b63.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.10e7e6cfb8280415d4a27941c29d387c9e6a2fdd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f3416fd6289cfd6d3f1e0482152ab320389019db.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3c03f5df265227cd6948a79920c9a28a3f2746a6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7fe78f3e5898da69cd76eb5b1b5a71e38be5a275.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e5dcce8919d01d3fa0ba509621965487376ab545.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ebefb2dcc03253397a9cf57efc6acf239d1fa1d.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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